• Canelo Vs Kovalev Betting Odds
• Canelo Vs Kovalev Results

Canelo Alvarez (Saúl Álvarez) vs Sergey Kovalev

• For Kovalev, this is a big chance to breathe some life into his career after being knocked out by Canelo last November by beating a rising commodity in Melikuziev. For the youngster, 13 years Kovalev’s junior at 24, this would fast-track his career, which is barely 18 months old.
• Canelo Alvarez vs Sergey Kovalev - Live stream, UK start time, TV channel, undercard info and betting odds for fight “Golovkin is not a challenge for me. If it's business, then why not?”.

Canelo vs Kovalev Betting Odds Here are the current odds for the Canelo vs Kovalev fight at Sports Interaction ( taken on October 29th ). You can find the up to date odds on the SportsInteraction.com website by selecting ‘Sports’ from the top menu bar and then selecting ‘Boxing’ in the left sidebar. CANELO vs KOVALEV BETTING PREVIEW Despite great power, Alvarez has seen four of his last five bouts come via decision The 28-year-old's only blemish on his astounding 51-1-2 overall record came back in September 2013 at the hands of Floyd Mayweather Jr., who won via majority decision.

In early September, Canelo announced on social media that he would be moving up two weight classes to challenge the WBO Light heavyweight titleholder Sergey Kovalev. Kovalev had just come off an impressive 11th round: knock out win vs Anthony Yarde on August 24th in Russia.

This will be Canelo’s attempt at winning a title belt in four divisions. He has held world titles in the light middleweight, middleweight and super middleweight division. As for Kovalev, he is looking to win his third straight title fight, and is hoping to retain his WBO gold against one of the biggest names in the sport.

Tale of the tape:

Sergey Kovalev
Age: 36
Height: 6ft
Reach: 183cm
Fights: 38
Record: 34-3-1
Wins by KO: 29 Wins by KO: 35

Canelo Alvarez
Age: 29
Height: 5’9
Reach: 179cm
Fights: 55
Record: 52-1-2
Wins by KO: 35

Kovalev is the older fighter at 36, but has just 38 fights to Canelo’s 55. Canelo has 17 more pro fights than Sergey, so as far as miles goes – these two may be closer than what the public thinks.

For Kovalev, at 6ft and 183cm’s reach, he has 2inches and 5cm’s on Canelo’s most successful opponent in memory – Gennedy Golovkin. With that, you would think that the strong, commanding jab of Kovalev is going to have a harder effect on Canelo, than what Golovkin was able to do to him – with only a 1inch height advantage.

Kovalev is also significantly taller than Golovkin,he has 2 inches in height and 5cms in reach over GGG. For me, that is a huge factor here, we saw how GGG was able to operate in those fights against Canelo, regardless of both decisions, he was still able to put damage on Canelo. In both fights we saw Canelo take as much damage as he has in almost any of his pro fights, at least since fighting Floyd Mayweather in 2013.

Kovalev is a career light heavyweight, he is the longer fighter here, and has fought at this size his entire career. Kovalev’s career has also been rejuvenated by his new trainer, American boxing legend Buddy McGirt.

Buddy McGirt, has come to a crossroad in his training career. He was the trainer of Russian fighter Maxim Dadashev, who died on July 23rd of this year, after suffering a subdural hematoma from his fight against Subriel Matías a few days earlier on July 19th. McGirt has been clearly affected by this, and has not stepped in as a corner man for a major boxing event, since the death of Dadashev in July. McGirt will be in Kovalev’s corner on November 2nd and has been training him since the lead up to the Anthony Yarde fight.

McGirt believes the short layoff for Kovalev, who fought Anthony Yarde just 10 weeks ago in Russia – will benefit him in the long run. McGirt believes that because Kovalev was already in shape for the Yarde fight, and didn’t need to take much time off for recovery, he was able to get back to fighting shape with ease. With that, McGirt believes the extra focus on technique and execution will be the difference between these two fighters come Saturday.

As we have seen with older fighters, the more active they are – the more success they have. It is the long layoff that hurts the guys reaching the twilight of their careers, especially in the upper weight divisions. Kovalev and his camp believe this is the perfect set up for him. A fresh fighter with nothing to lose, against a fighter in Canelo – who hasn’t really had any major fight competition since taking on GGG in September of last year.

With a simple analysis of the odds for this fight, it is actually quite stunning that Canelo comes into this fight as a 1-4 favorite, with Kovalev being a +300 underdog.

To put it bluntly, Kovalev is coming off a fight where he looked impressive against a very highly touted prospect at Light-Heavyweight in Anthony Yarde. There was only about 45 seconds of that fight, where Kovalev looked to be having problems with Yarde. Yarde is a big strong kid with a lot of punching power. Kovalev looked to be out on his feet at one point in the 8th round, but was able to comeback and assert his dominance as the fight went into the later rounds. Kovalev ended up being able to take out Yarde with a straight jab that proved to be too much for him, ending the fight in the 11th round by TKO.

As we saw with Gennedy Golovkin vs Canelo, that straight “walking forward’ jab has seemed to be problematic for Alvarez. It was the most consistent punch thrown by GGG in 24 rounds of fighting against Canelo and it seemed to be giving Canelo fits at times in the two fights they had.

Kovalev is a tall, long, rangey guy, who has fought the top guys in this division. He is not the Sergey Kovalev that we saw fight Andre Ward in 2016 and 2017, but if he is anything like what we saw vs Anthony Yarde just a few months ago – I think it will be enough to cause Canelo a lot of problems. This fight is not as cut and dry as the odds may have you believe.

Kovalev’s jab is going to come down the pipe fast and hard, so if Canelo is looking to put some hurt on Kovalev’s body, he’s going to have to go through that hard jab first – and that’s something I don’t think Canelo will be able to do very easily.

Kovalev Trends:

Kovalev has a career knock out rate of 76% (29/38), and in his last 16 fights has knocked out 9 of his opponents. In his 14 fights in which professional odds were posted, Kovalev has an ROI of +0.09% per fight, with a record of 11-3 +0.52u. Kovalev has also gone the distance in 4 of his last 16 pro fights, and has a career ‘to the distance’ rate of 18% (7 of 38 fights). The fight has gone under in 8 of Kovalev’s 15 fights in which professional odds were posted. Kovalev under backers have gone 8-7, +0.95 units for an ROI of +0.16% per wager.

Canelo Trends:

In Canelo’s 19 pro fights in which professional odds were posted, Alvarez has a record of 17-2, +2.31 units. Alvarez has a career knock out rate of 63% (35/55) and in his last 16 fights, a knock out rating of 44% (7/16). Canelo has gone the distance in 32% of his fights (20/55) and has gone to decision in 56% of his last 16 fights (9/16). The over has hit in 13 of Canelo’s 18 booked fights. Giving over backers in Canelo fights a record of 13-5, +3.88u. An ROI of +0.54% per wager. Canelo Alvarez has never been knocked out in his professional boxing career.

In the big boxing scheme of things, it was Canelo that wanted this fight, not Golden Boy promotions or DAZN. This is a fight that Canelo has so much more to lose than Kovalev if he can’t win, and because of that – I think Kovalev has the distinct advantage. These two guys are not as far apart as the odds would have you think; and in reality, Kovalev is going to fare far better than what his expectations are.

It is one thing for Canelo to fight Rocky Fielding at 168lbs, but to jump up to 175 – where the cream of the crop rises as you get closer to the heavy weights, is a complete different task. Canelo Alvarez is venturing into uncharted waters here. If i’m apart of team Canelo, this is not a fight I want.

Canelo’s path to victory

If Canelo starts getting inside on Kovalev, and is able to put some pain on him; than this fight might go to the cards. Kovalev might get slowed down and that jab might stop coming – which will allow Canelo to fight his fight, and Canelo’s fight is going to be on the inside. I don’t think Canelo is going to have the power to take out Kovalev, but if he is able to overwhelm him, like what we saw Yarde do to Kovalev in the 8th round of their fight, I think there is a small chance Canelo may be able to end this fight within the distance. The most likely path to victory for Canelo, is for him to get inside on Kovalev, and for him to work that body and stop Kovalev from extending out, limiting his reach and what we will probably see is a slower paced, stalking match – which will go 12 rounds and in favor of Canelo. I am just not completely convinced that will be so easy for Alvarez here. I do not want to underestimate Canelo, because he continues to get better every single fight, but even with that impressive physique at Light Heavyweight, I still think people are seeing something I’m not with this one.

Kovalev’s path to victory

If Kovalev is able to keep Canelo on the outside, by using his reach and that powerful jab – than we might be in for a more competitive fight than what the so called experts may be expecting. I am not sure how Canelo is going to react, if he is unable to get inside on Kovalev. If Kovalev starts countering, and starts coming forward on Canelo, the same way we saw him come forward against Anthony Yarde. If we see that straight jab landing on Canelo consistently, I’m not exactly sure how Canelo is going to react. What I think will happen is that it’s going to stun Canelo, because as mentioned – Alvarez has not fought a guy of this size and with this power, at any point in his career. As Kovalev’s trainer Buddy McGirt has said, Canelo may have chose to fight the wrong old man here. The jab is the key for Kovalev’s path to victory. The common expectation among the boxing experts, is that when Kovalev gets hit to the body, he’s going to fold like a table. In my opinion, that will not be the case. Canelo is still going to have to get past that jab, and there will be no opening for him to do so early in this fight. For Canelo to get inside on Kovalev, he is going to have to take some damage first. I think Kovalev’s hitting power is going to overwhelm Canelo, and if this fight doesn’t go 12 rounds, I think Kovalev can win this thing inside the distance.

Buyer Beware: Boxing has it’s quirks.

As we have seen before, countless times, boxing is not the most honest sport in the world. So don’t be shocked if Kovalev seems to have the advantage on the score cards, and ends up losing this fight by a close decision. It is the nature of the sport. Golden Boy and DAZN are not going to let their prized Mexican Champion – go out easily to an aging Russian. If Kovalev is going to win this fight, he needs to do it within 12 rounds of boxing and not let the judges decide for him.

AlMac’s Best Bets (via Bet365)

2.5% – Kovalev +300

2.5% – Kovalev (By KO) +550

1.35% – Canelo/Kovalev (over 10.5 Rounds) (-200)

1% – Kovalev (Wins in Rounds 10 – 12) +2800

1% – Either Fighter (Wins in Rounds 10 – 12) +850

Thanks for reading, follow me on Twitter for all my picks @SparkAlMac

Sergey Kovalev (34-4-1, 29 KOs) vs. Bektemir Melikuziev (6-0, 5 KOs)
When: Saturday, January 30, 2021
Where: Luzhniki, Moscow, Russia
TV: DAZN
Weight Class: Light Heavyweight: 178 Catch-Weight
by Loot Levinson of Predictem.com

Betting Odds: Sergey Kovalev (+250), Bektemir Melikuziev (-300)

Fight Analysis:

Former World Light Heavyweight Champion Sergey Kovalev takes on up-and-coming prospect Bektemir Melikuziev on January 30 in Moscow. This bout will be held at a special catchweight of 178 pounds. For Kovalev, this is a big chance to breathe some life into his career after being knocked out by Canelo last November by beating a rising commodity in Melikuziev. For the youngster, 13 years Kovalev’s junior at 24, this would fast-track his career, which is barely 18 months old. It’s a classic battle of young vs. old, and in Russia, this will be a high-stakes fight. Who can get the upper hand on January 30?

This fight is very unique on some different levels. You have a fighter in Kovalev who has been at the top of his division for a decade, having made a lot of money in some high-profile fights going back a number of years. He has been in there with the best, and a lot of people still think he beat now-retired and undefeated Andre Ward in their first fight. You don’t usually see a fighter with Kovalev’s credentials crossing paths with a six-fight pro like Melikuziev. And making the youngster’s challenge even more-lofty is that he is a super middleweight taking on a light heavyweight with added poundage at the 178-pound catchweight.

It is a calculated move on the part of the Melikuziev brain-trust. The thinking is that Kovalev still has a big name, one fight removed from a big fight with Canelo. His name still has pop. But he’s spoiled goods, on the downside of his career, and not near the force he once was. Kovalev was an assassin in the ring, combining fearsome power and underrated skill to reign terror on the 175-pound division for a long time. But the mileage began accruing, and he became a little more brittle. After being stopped by a smaller fighter in his last fight, Melikuziev is hoping to do it again. But he’s no Canelo.

Even if you sign off on the notion that Kovalev is washed up, it’s still a massive leap up in class. And let’s take a closer look at Kovalev and whether or not he’s really through. After a long championship run that culminated with two fights with Ward, he began to fray a bit, winning a few fights before being knocked out by Eleider Alvarez. But it’s what happened after that, which shows he still has something to be accounted for. He exacted revenge on the capable Alvarez, winning a decision, before waging war with Anthony Yarde and forging a big late-KO win. And sure, an 11th-round KO loss to Alvarez where he took some punishment and some outside-the-ring legal issues may have him an even lesser version of himself than he was a year ago, sticking a fork in Kovalev could be a bit premature.

Again, the case of Melikuziev jumping in the ring with “The Krusher” in his 7th fight seems curious, but some good things are in place. First off, he’s a blue-chip prospect of the highest order, featuring an amateur record that was stellar and included gold medal wins in world championships, as well as an Olympic silver medal in 2016. The Uzbekistani southpaw is now based in the states, and this will actually be his first pro fight in Russia. He has been put on an accelerated track since turning pro, while having not beaten anyone too fantastic yet, the most familiar name on his ledger being upset-specialist Clay Collard.

It’s easy to understand the enthusiasm around Melikuziev. A somewhat squat, thickly-muscled aggressor, he lashes out suddenly with quick shots that do a lot of damage. He goes hard to the body, always a concern with Kovalev, but especially in this more-brittle later stage of his career. The concern with Kovalev isn’t his offense so much. He can still lash out with hard shots, and his right-hand would theoretically be a good matchup-element against his left-handed opponent. But it’s how he takes the punishment, and against Melikuziev, that’s the worst shortcoming to have. He really gets after it and punishes his opponents.

Kovalev is bigger and longer than his opponent. His jab is an underrated weapon that can sometimes control distance. His punching power is still a problem for opponents. Melikuziev, with his long amateur pedigree and having been fighting unexceptional 168-pounders, is likely to experience punching power, unlike anything he has experienced. And sure, he looks the part of a durable fighter who can take damage, having not so much as flinched from anything so far. But you just never know.

I think the size will be reason for Kovalev backers to be more confident perhaps, but it might not be the factor they’re hoping it will be. In fact, an aggressive smaller fighter who is faster with a higher work-rate might not be what the doctor ordered for Kovalev at this stage in his career. Kovalev needs to fight at a certain pace and dictate the terms. With this smaller fighter attacking quickly, Kovalev really needs to make some big early statements and catch Melikuziev coming in, or he could run the risk of getting run over.

Canelo Vs Kovalev Betting Odds

Kovalev is a proud warrior fighting in his home country with his back against the wall career-wise. Expect some resistance. If this turned out to be a terrible miscalculation on the part of Melikuziev and his management, it wouldn’t be the first time. Not everyone can make this jump. I just see the conditions being about right. I don’t think Kovalev has the stomach anymore for long protracted wars against this level of opponent. I see Melikuziev bringing the curtain down on Kovalev. I’ll take youth over experience in this battle.

My Prediction to Win the Fight:

I’m betting on Bektemir Melikuziev at -300 betting odds. At this point in his career, Kovalev might be reduced to having a “puncher’s chance.” If that power doesn’t surface in quick and resounding order, this has the looks of an extreme uphill battle for the old ex-champion. Place your bets for free this week by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus offer on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at BetNow Sportsbook!

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